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Gartner’s Software Hype Cycles for 2012

by Abel Avram on Aug 24, 2012 |

In a series of reports, Gartner has evaluated the maturity, adoption and future direction of more than 1,900 technologies and trends for 2012. The technologies are viewed from the perspective of the hype cycle consisting of the following five phases: Technology Trigger, Peak of Inflated Expectations, Trough of Disillusionment, Slope of Enlightenment, and Plateau of Productivity.

The Emerging Technologies Hype Cycle 2012 contains a number of new technologies which have entered the stage, including Big Data, Internet of Things, and In-Memory Computing, while others are at the peak, such as HTML5, Hybrid Cloud Computing, Social Analytics:

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The following table summarized some of the software-related technologies analyzed by Gartner and presented in a number of reports including Hype Cycle for Enterprise Architecture, 2012, Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2012, Hype Cycle for Application Architecture, 2012, Hype Cycle for Application Development, 2012, Hype Cycle for Web Computing, 2012, Hype Cycle for In-Memory Computing Technology, 2012, and Hype Cycle for Big Data, 2012.

On the Rise

Application Release Automation

Application Service Governance

Big Data Impact on EA

Cloud Computing's Impact on EA

Cloud-Enabled Application Platforms (CEAPs)

Cloud-Optimized Application Design

Context Delivery Architecture

DevOps

EA Governance

Enterprise Solution Architecture

Enterprise-Class Agile Development

HTTP 2.0

In-Memory DBMS for OLTP

Internet of Things

IT/OT Impact on EA

Java Enterprise Edition Version 7

Mobile Impact on EA

Portal PaaS

Public Web APIs

Social Media Strategic Impact on EA

Web Real-Time Communications

At the Peak

Analytical In-memory DBMS

Big Data

BYOD

Cloud BPM

Cloud Parallel Processing

Crowdsourcing

Database Platform as a Service (dbPaaS)

Distributed Versioning

EA Certification

Elastic Multitenancy

Enterprise Business Architecture

Enterprise Information Architecture

Functional Programming Languages 

HTML5

Hybrid Cloud Computing

In-Memory Database Management Systems

Mobile Web Applications

NoSQL Database Management Systems

Object Relational Mapping for .NET

Platform as a Service

Private Cloud Computing

Semantic Web

SOA Testing

Social Analytics

Social Content

Sliding Into the Trough

Cloud Computing

Cloud/Web Platforms

Continuous Integration

Database Software as a Service (dbSaaS)

EA Frameworks

Enterprise Mashups

Federated SOA

Hosted Virtual Desktops  

Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS)

In-Memory Analytics

In-Memory Data Grids

MapReduce and Alternatives

Model Driven Architectures

NFC

Representational State Transfer

Web 3.0

Web-Oriented Architecture

Climbing the Slope

Composite Applications

Consumer Web Mashups

Consumerization

EA Assurance

Enterprise Architecture 

Enterprise Architecture Tools

Enterprise Technology Architecture

Event-Driven Architecture

Web Widgets

Entering the Plateau

B2B Web Services

Column-Store DBMS

Mobile Application Development Platforms 

Predictive Analytics

Second-Generation Portlet Standards (JSR 286 and WSRP v.2)

Service-Oriented Architecture

Web Analytics

The hype cycles help evaluating various technologies, to see their maturity and suitability for investment. If a technology has just started and it is on the rise, then it may be useful to start integrating it in the technology planning process, or maybe start building on it to have a head start against competitors, but the latest approach involves high risk due to technology’s immaturity. Technologies at the peak or sliding into the trough of disillusionment get a lot of press coverage but they are not necessarily technologies that will survive or thrive in the following years. Technologies found climbing the slope and entering the plateau are considered by Gartner as mature and stable, suitable for investment.

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Facebook been on a Delorean ??? by Marcelo Costa

5 to 10 years for HTML5 to be a mature technology? So the folks at facebook been on a Delorean is this?

Re: Facebook been on a Delorean ??? by Paulo Pinto

HTML 5 is still a mess to support across multiple browsers and is yet to be standardized.

Re: Facebook been on a Delorean ??? by Slavko Salontaji

Allowed html: a,b,br,blockquote,i,li,pre,u,ul,p

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