Flash is Dominating the Landscape, but Silverlight is Growing
A RIA statistics page is publishing the numbers of browsers having RIA plug-ins installed on a daily basis. The RIA space today is occupied by Flash but Silverlight is catching up.
The statistics were collected by monitoring 41 web sites over a period of 30 days counting a total of almost 1.5 million unique browsers. Considering all browsers and operating systems, Flash is present on 97% of the systems, while Silverlight is on 21% and Java plug-in on 75%. (All the numbers were rounded.)
|OS||Flash (%)||Silverlight (%)||Java (%)|
|Mac OS X||95||18||96|
What’s interesting is that Silverlight is more present in Firefox than Internet Explorer, when it comes to browsers across all operating systems:
|Browser||Flash (%)||Silverlight (%)||Java (%)|
Across all browsers and OSes, the major RIA platforms scored:
|RIA Technology||Presence (%)|
For the last 3 months, the trends are:
|RIA Technology||3 months ago (%)||Today (%)|
Flash 9 and 10 have switched places, together having a strong presence across browsers. Flash is the RIA platform of choice. Silverlight 1 is about at the same level at around 3%, while Silverlight 2 grew almost 8%. But Microsoft is most likely going to include Silverlight in Windows 7, and its presence will certainly rocket.
Silverlight - to be continued - keep watching ;-)
When to jump in
The question is when does it get the time to get started. Clearly depends on your audience.
Going to the link (above) in early June 2009 suggests maybe 10% points gain for SL 2 in 3 months (non RIA sites). That takes it to about 30% of browsers. Windows 7 will give a boost, but ignoring that we can guestimate another 30% in 9 months. If that's plausible we have say 60% penetration in March 2010, which looks like a reasonable time to launch. So subtract set up time from end March 2010 and you have a crude guess at when you might want to get started (for a generic audience).